Box Office

The upcoming epic thriller based on J. Robert Oppenheimer, the enigmatic man who must risk destroying the world in order to save it.
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natalie wrote:
August 8th, 2023, 3:40 pm
redfirebird2008 wrote:
August 8th, 2023, 3:32 pm
Here is some interesting data. Oppy's $4.75M on Day 18 is slightly higher than TDKR's $4.73M on Day 18 in the domestic market. TDKR made another $90M domestic beyond this point. So is Oppy now locked for $320M domestic?? Hard to imagine Oppy will have worse legs than TDKR the rest of the way.
Very similar to Inception that made another $95M domestic beyond this point (and $4.3 in day 18).
I'm staying away from comparisons with Inception because that movie had the strongest legs of any big budget movie for Nolan.

That said, it seems like the movie is locked for $300 million at bare minimum. If it performs exactly like TDKR, it finishes at $323 million. It can afford to give up $23 million and still reach $300 million. Only needs to earn 74% of TDKR's daily numbers the rest of the way to get to $300 million. That's very achievable at this point for a movie that's already above TDKR's daily gross.

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redfirebird2008 wrote:
August 8th, 2023, 3:53 pm
natalie wrote:
August 8th, 2023, 3:40 pm
redfirebird2008 wrote:
August 8th, 2023, 3:32 pm
Here is some interesting data. Oppy's $4.75M on Day 18 is slightly higher than TDKR's $4.73M on Day 18 in the domestic market. TDKR made another $90M domestic beyond this point. So is Oppy now locked for $320M domestic?? Hard to imagine Oppy will have worse legs than TDKR the rest of the way.
Very similar to Inception that made another $95M domestic beyond this point (and $4.3 in day 18).
I'm staying away from comparisons with Inception because that movie had the strongest legs of any big budget movie for Nolan.

That said, it seems like the movie is locked for $300 million at bare minimum. If it performs exactly like TDKR, it finishes at $323 million. It can afford to give up $23 million and still reach $300 million. Only needs to earn 74% of TDKR's daily numbers the rest of the way to get to $300 million. That's very achievable at this point for a movie that's already above TDKR's daily gross.
Considering this films major Oscars aspirations, it wouldn’t surprise me to see this movie have legs a lot longer than any of us are expecting

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Yes! They could bring it back closer to the award season like they did with Dunkirk.

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Tarssauce wrote:
August 8th, 2023, 5:43 pm
Yes! They could bring it back closer to the award season like they did with Dunkirk.
If movies get their release dates pushed back due to the strikes that’s even more possible.

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William Blake wrote:
August 9th, 2023, 12:04 am
Tarssauce wrote:
August 8th, 2023, 5:43 pm
Yes! They could bring it back closer to the award season like they did with Dunkirk.
If movies get their release dates pushed back due to the strikes that’s even more possible.
Great point

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William Blake wrote:
August 9th, 2023, 12:04 am
If movies get their release dates pushed back due to the strikes that’s even more possible.
True! Wonder what's gonna happen to Dune in particular.

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The legs it is having and almost zero competition in August? Yeah, it'll get to 300 domestically with ease. I also think the high estimate of 330 is possible as well. I wouldn't count out 900 million WW either but more likely it'll be around 850.

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Back to #2.

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