Tenet - Box Office Autopsy

Christopher Nolan's time inverting spy film that follows a protagonist fighting for the survival of the entire world.
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So far Tenet is the third highest grossing movie of the year. Do we think it'll make another 150 million and bet Bad Boys for life?

What do we think the chances of it getting to 400 million during its theatrical run will be? If it hits 400 than all the costs will be paid for, and it wont be a loss.

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A Borges man wrote:
October 11th, 2020, 3:14 am
So far Tenet is the third highest grossing movie of the year. Do we think it'll make another 150 million and bet Bad Boys for life?

What do we think the chances of it getting to 400 million during its theatrical run will be? If it hits 400 than all the costs will be paid for, and it wont be a loss.
That's not necessarily true, for a few reasons:

1) $205 million would make the number $410 million be a bit more realistic. "It's only $10 million," one might say. Try telling that to a studio rep... or me, for that matter. I could definitely use $10 million right now, heh.

2) Tenet isn't doing well domestically, where the studio receives the greatest amount of return. International box office they get less than half (maybe around 40% or so?), and in China they get about one-quarter of it.

3) They haven't continued pushing the marketing for it too strongly, but the marketing should be considered when it comes to breaking even, despite it not being in the film's budget.

4) Nolan himself took home a certain amount of the first week's profits, correct? Might have to subtract that out as well.

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A Borges man wrote:
October 11th, 2020, 3:14 am
So far Tenet is the third highest grossing movie of the year. Do we think it'll make another 150 million and bet Bad Boys for life?

What do we think the chances of it getting to 400 million during its theatrical run will be? If it hits 400 than all the costs will be paid for, and it wont be a loss.
The movie will lose money sadly but so will Mulan,Unhinged ,New mutants,Greenland
. It wont lose as much if we factor in the blue ray /streaming sales

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Follower wrote:
September 30th, 2020, 11:52 am
Cinema halls in India to open from Oct 15 at 50% capacity. Hopefully I can watch Tenet now. :clap:
not happening ..really sad..no chance until the the 2 large/imp markets in India (Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu) re-opens

PVR will be screening a few small English flicks like The Rental instead

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MuffinMcFluffin wrote:
October 11th, 2020, 3:41 am
A Borges man wrote:
October 11th, 2020, 3:14 am
So far Tenet is the third highest grossing movie of the year. Do we think it'll make another 150 million and bet Bad Boys for life?

What do we think the chances of it getting to 400 million during its theatrical run will be? If it hits 400 than all the costs will be paid for, and it wont be a loss.
That's not necessarily true, for a few reasons:

1) $205 million would make the number $410 million be a bit more realistic. "It's only $10 million," one might say. Try telling that to a studio rep... or me, for that matter. I could definitely use $10 million right now, heh.

2) Tenet isn't doing well domestically, where the studio receives the greatest amount of return. International box office they get less than half (maybe around 40% or so?), and in China they get about one-quarter of it.

3) They haven't continued pushing the marketing for it too strongly, but the marketing should be considered when it comes to breaking even, despite it not being in the film's budget.

4) Nolan himself took home a certain amount of the first week's profits, correct? Might have to subtract that out as well.
2) WB demanded 65% from many, if not all foreign markets for Tenet, (not including China), so they've made a lot more here than usual. There is now debate if India will agree on those terms, but most did.

3) The 400-million mark include the marketing cost, which they've spent considerably less on than usual.

4) Obviously Nolan will not receive a dime until the film goes in the black.

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natalie wrote:
October 11th, 2020, 11:54 am
yay

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