Dunkirk Awards Season Discussion Thread

The 2017 World War II thriller about the evacuation of British and Allied troops from Dunkirk beach.
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In order of most to least likely by block:

Most Likely:
-Best Picture
-Best Director
-Sound Design
-Sound Mixing
-VFX
-Best Editing(*)

Fairly Likely:
-Best Cinematography
-Production Design
-Costumes
-Makeup
-Score (could get disqualified too)

Not likely:
-Best Original Screenplay

No fucking chance:
-ANY acting nominations.


-Vader

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Second re-evaluation.

Nomination chances:

Best Sound Mixing (100%)
Best Sound Editing (100%)
Best Picture (100%)
Best Film Editing (95%)
Best Cinematography (90%)
Best Director (80%)
Best Original Screenplay (70%)
Best Visual Effects (50%)
Best Original Score (40%)
Best Production Design (30%)
Best Costume Design (20%)
Best Actor In A Supporting Role (5%)
Best Make-Up and Hairstyling (0%)

Winning chances:

Best Sound Editing (100%)
Best Cinematography (80%)
Best Director (70%)
Best Sound Mixing (70%) - dropped by 30% because of the guaranteed Baby Driver nom
Best Film Editing (60%)
Best Picture (0%)
Best Original Screenplay (0%)
Best Visual Effects (0%)
Best Original Score (0%)
Best Production Design (0%)
Best Costume Design (0%)
Best Actor In A Supporting Role (0%)
Best Make-Up and Hairstyling (0%)[/quote]

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I'm not sure why RIFA thinks this films score doesn't have that strong a shot. Pretty much everyone, even those that didn't like the movie, admit this was exceptional work from Hans Zimmer. I would say the score is one of the most guaranteed locks from this movie, and most likely the one that will win too.

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Spert wrote:I'm not sure why RIFA thinks this films score doesn't have that strong a shot. Pretty much everyone, even those that didn't like the movie, admit this was exceptional work from Hans Zimmer. I would say the score is one of the most guaranteed locks from this movie, and most likely the one that will win too.
Because of the same reason Vader mentioned in the post above me. It can easily be disqualified so it's nomination is for sure not something guaranteed. And if it does get nominated then for it to win the competition will have to be incredibly weak. This OST, while brilliant in it's own way, it's more of a stylized ticking clock than a traditional orchestral composition. Which is the problem. I'm 100% convinced we'll get some fantastic traditional scores by the end of the year which will eclipse Zimmer's work.

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Trying not think too much about awards, but I'm confident it will manage to be nominated for:

Best Picture
Best Cinematography
Best Sound Mixing
Best Sound Editing
Best Film Editing
Best Production Design

These however are 50/50 chances, imo:

Best Director
Best Visual Effects
Best Original Score

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Vader182 wrote:In order of most to least likely by block:

Most Likely:
-Best Picture
-Best Director
-Sound Design
-Sound Mixing
-VFX
-Best Editing(*)

No fucking chance:
-ANY acting nominations.


-Vader
I agree with your Most Likely, but I think Best Cinematography should be on that list. As for the acting nom's, I think Branagh might have a crack at it. He really stood out for me.

Also, I literally didn't even notice the score in this film. It wasn't distracting, so that was good, but it played no part in my enjoyment of this film.

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It's really stupid that this isn't a slam dunk for cinematography.

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Nominations: - 11 Nominations

Best Picture
Best Director
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Cinematography
Best Production Design
Best Original Score
Best Visual Effects
Best Editing
Best Costume Design
Best Original Screenplay

Wins - 6 Wins

Best Picture
Best Director
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Original Score
Best Editing


Don't know why, But I have a feeling that Dunkirk will eventually win the Best Picture award. I think the Academy have yet to award a large scale blockbuster this decade with the biggest award of the night. Everyone seems to be gushing about it. It has the emotion, the subject material, and the technicalities to really pull through. It's Christopher Nolan's year.

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2017-2018 OSCAR PREDICTIONS
[JULY 28, 2017]
BEST PICTURE

“Blade Runner 2049”
“Darkest Hour”
“Detroit”
“Downsizing”
“Dunkirk”
“Last Flag Flying”
“Mudbound”
“The Papers”
“Suburbicon”
“Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film”

BEST DIRECTOR

Kathryn Bigelow (“Detroit”)
Christopher Nolan (“Dunkirk”)
Alexander Payne (“Downsizing”)
Dee Rees (“Mudbound”)
Steven Spielberg (“The Papers”)

BEST ACTOR

Willem Dafoe (“The Florida Project”)
Daniel Day-Lewis (“Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film”)
Hugh Jackman (“The Greatest Showman”)
Gary Oldman (“Darkest Hour”)
Joaquin Phoenix (“You Were Never Really Here”)

BEST ACTRESS

Annette Bening (“Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool”)
Jessica Chastain (“Molly’s Game”)
Judi Dench (“Victoria and Abdul”)
Jennifer Lawrence (“mother!”)
Meryl Streep (“The Papers”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Steve Carell (“Battle of the Sexes”)
Idris Elba (“Molly’s Game”)
James Franco (“The Disaster Artist”)
Armie Hammer (“Call Me By Your Name”)
Jason Mitchell (“Mudbound”)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Hong Chau (“Downsizing”)
Julianne Moore (“Wonderstruck”)
Michelle Pfeiffer (“mother!”)
Margot Robbie (“Goodbye Christopher Robin”)
Michelle Williams (“The Greatest Showman”)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

“Darkest Hour” (Anthony McCarten)
“Downsizing” (Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor)
"Dunkirk" (Christopher Nolan)
“Suburbicon” (George Clooney, Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, Grant Heslov)
“Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri” (Martin McDonagh)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“Call Me By Your Name” (Luca Guadagnino, James Ivory, Walter Fasano)
“Last Flag Flying” (Richard Linklater)
“Molly’s Game” (Aaron Sorkin)
“Mudbound” (Dee Rees, Virgil Williams)
“The Papers” (Liz Hannah)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

“The Breadwinner” (Nora Twomey)
“Coco” (Lee Unkrich, Adrian Molina)
“Ferdinand” (Carlos Sadanha)
“The LEGO Batman Movie” (Chris McKay)
“The LEGO Ninjago Movie” (Kyle Balda, Pierre Coffin, Eric Guillon)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

“Blade Runner 2049” (Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola)
“Darkest Hour” (Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer)
“Dunkirk” (Nathan Crowley, Emmanuel Delis, Gary Fettis)
“The Greatest Showman” (Nathan Crowley)
“The Shape of Water” (Paul D. Austerberry, Jeffrey A. Melvin, Shane Vieau)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

“Blade Runner 2049” (Roger Deakins)
“Darkest Hour” (Seamus McGarvey)
“Dunkirk” (Hoyte van Hoytema)
“mother!” (Matthew Libatique)
“Mudbound” (Rachel Morrison)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

“The Beguiled” (Stacey Battat)
“Darkest Hour” (Jacqueline Durran)
“Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film” (Mark Bridges)
“Victoria and Abdul” (Consolata Boyle)
“Wonder Wheel” (Suzy Benzinger)

BEST FILM EDITING

“Blade Runner 2049” (Joe Walker)
“Detroit” (William Goldenberg)
“Dunkirk” (Lee Smith)
“Mudbound” (Mako Kamitsuna)
“The Papers” (Michael Kahn)

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

“Darkest Hour” (Anita Burger, Ivana Primorac, David Malinowski)
“The Greatest Showman” (Nicki Ledermann, Angela Levin, Jerry Poplis)
“Logan” (Gloria Pasqua Casny, Joel Harlow)

BEST SOUND MIXING

“Blade Runner 2049” (Theo Green, Mac Ruth)
“Detroit” (Tom Burns, Tom Williams)
“Dunkirk” (Mark Weingarten)
“The Greatest Showman” (Tod A. Maitland)
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (David Parker, Bonnie Wild, Stuart Wilson)

BEST SOUND EDITING

“Blade Runner 2049” (Christopher S. Aud, Lee Gilmore, Mark A. Mangini)
“Detroit” (Jamie Hardt, Christian Schaanning, Hamilton Sterling, Tom Williams)
“Dunkirk” (Michael W. Mitchell, Randy Torres)
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (Matthew Wood)
“Wonder Woman” (David Mackie, James Mather)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

“Blade Runner 2049”
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2”
“Spider-Man: Homecoming”
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi”
“War for the Planet of the Apes”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

“Darkest Hour” (Dario Marianelli)
“Dunkirk” (Hans Zimmer)
“The Papers” (John Williams)
“The Shape of Water” (Alexandre Desplat)
“Three Billboards of Ebbing, Missouri” (Carter Burwell)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Beauty and the Beast”
“Coco”
“Detroit”
“The Greatest Showman”
“An Inconvenient Sequel”

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

“Aida’s Secrets”
“Dealt”
“An Inconvenient Sequel”
“School Life”
“Unrest”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
“Happy End” (AUSTRIA)
“Ismael’s Ghosts” (FRANCE)
“Loveless” (RUSSIA)
“Thelma” (NORWAY)
“Where Life is Born” (MEXICO)

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