So all in all I think it's reasonable to expect another 35-45 from China. Add to that the possible 15-20 mil that the film will most likely make in US, another 10 mil from Italy and about 15-25 more from the other markets excluding Japan, and we should have anywhere between 530-570 mil. We'll see how much Japan will add to that.
In short, never be too reserved when you're estimating the BO performance of a Nolan film, lol.£
I know I've been a bit too pessimistic before Dunkirk's release on its BO potential, but the movie doing over $530M worldwide is unrealistic, imo (I'd like to proven wrong though). China is probably adding another $20M-$30M max. since the movie has crazy competition coming up (Spider-Man and Apes), and Dunkirk will probably just barely get to $185M-$190M domestic.
Since Dunkirk is in its last legs everywhere excluding the few territories it has just been released in, my take is that the final gross will be between $500M and $510M.
Still, one hell of an accomplishment, and I couldn't be more satisfied that it's most likely crossing the $500M mark. From what I've read (don't remember if it was here or in another forum), if/when that happens Nolan will become the first director to have released 5 +$500M movies in a row.
great numbers this long weekend ..I think it can hit 190 as for 200 sheesh it'll be tough..will see how this week and next weekend play out for holds and we will get a better idea..I can see it playing through September but it will start to lose more screens every week..I could see it lasting until mid October maybe..its had great WOM..I've had family members and friends that are usually not big nolan fans, well as compared to me, have seen it twice and are ready to see it a third time when we finally get it in true 70 mm imax at our biggest theater which starts at the end of September.