Tenet - Box Office Discussion/Speculation

An original action espionage film releasing in IMAX on July 17, 2020.
User avatar
Posts: 3162
Joined: May 2012
AsianVersionOfET wrote:
March 21st, 2019, 8:59 pm
In before the delete!
I was going to say, it will probably not be deleted, but repurposed as the box office thread (but for whatever reason I decided not to say it).

Lo and behold, a few hours later...!

Just for fun comparison, the first post in Dunkirk's box office thread pretty much nailed it: viewtopic.php?f=45&t=18463

So applying that same logic, billion here we come? :gonf:

Though yes, the Dunkirk post was made on June 1, 2016 after filming began and we already knew the subject matter, while we know basically nothing concrete about the 2020 film other than the three lead actors. :P

Edit: So June 2, 2019 is the cutoff date for your "wow, you really nailed it!!" predictions, people!

Posts: 360
Joined: July 2018
I predict:
$200 million to $290 million Domestic.
$800 million to $850 million Worldwide.

Posts: 17764
Joined: June 2012
Location: King's Landing
I predict




I don't know how much exactly but I predict it nonetheless

Posts: 941
Joined: May 2012
$500-$600 million I predict

Posts: 98
Joined: March 2013
Can we stop measuring a billion worldwide as some measure of success. It depends on all sorts of things, genre, budget, plot.

Seeing Dunkirk as anything other than a financial success is ridiculous considering the subject and budget.

Posts: 44
Joined: March 2017
This is being released on the same day as the Bob's Burgers movie. How much money do we predict that will make opening weekend? Trying to gauge the competition.

I'm a little more worried about Disney's Jungle Cruise, which comes out the following weekend. Nolan's film will be fine obviously, and it will probably make more money than Dunkirk overall, but that also benefited from not being up against a Disney film starring Dwayne Johnson.

Out of Nolan's recent blockbusters, Interstellar seems to have had the stiffest competition upon release with Big Hero 6 on the same weekend and Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 out two weeks later.

Posts: 360
Joined: July 2018
I think counter-programming will help Nolan's film in this case. I don't think the same people *legitimately* interested in Nolan's film will be choosing Jungle Cruise or Bob's Burgers instead, and vice versa. Really, you're looking at two weekends for a wide spectrum of movie goers, and everyone wins.

Honestly though, I'm pretty sure a Nolan Time Travel Summer Blockbuster is going to be feared by everything being released for a *month*. This isn't necessarily a niche thing like Dunkirk; this is fun, mainstream popcorn. It's going to be huge.

Post Reply