Variety is predicting Dark Tower will edge out Dunkirk by 18 million to 16 million. Is this a given at this point? Based on how many theaters each has? And, they have this down to a science where their prediction will hold?
dsus4gtr wrote:Variety is predicting Dark Tower will edge out Dunkirk by 18 million to 16 million. Is this a given at this point? Based on how many theaters each has? And, they have this down to a science where their prediction will hold?
Or, can Dunkirk still win this weekend?
It looks like The Dark Tower started stronger than Dunkirk on Friday, but we don't know how well it will hold up during the weekend because of the low critic response or possible bad word of mouth. But yes, as of right now, TDT will win the weekend. Dunkirk might have more theaters, but it's already in its third weekend. In my opinion, as long as it continues to have less than 50% drops, it's all good.
Not that Dunkirk didn't get the same "unfair advantage" on its opening weekend, but does The Dark Tower's weekend numbers include what it got on Thursday night, and are Dunkirk's Thursday night numbers not included at the same time?
okungnyo wrote:Will Dunkirk make the year's highest grossing top 10 or is that too lofty a goal?
Doubt it. You still have Thor, Justice League, Coco, Star Wars, Blade Runner coming out.
The box office domestically as a whole isn't as strong as last year when there were 9 movies to make over $300 million domestically and there are only 3 movies so far this year with Spider-man getting close to that mark.
MuffinMcFluffin wrote:Not that Dunkirk didn't get the same "unfair advantage" on its opening weekend, but does The Dark Tower's weekend numbers include what it got on Thursday night, and are Dunkirk's Thursday night numbers not included at the same time?
Curious.
Yes, Dark Tower has the $1.8m Thursday previews as part of the Friday gross. Dunkirk's Thursday gross is just the Thursday gross. Dark Tower is collapsing on MovieTickets today. Last night it was at 15.2% compared to 13.5% for Dunkirk. Now it's 12.8% for Dark Tower and 15% for Dunkirk. Something very similar to this happened last week between Emoji and Dunkirk.
I think it's going to be pretty close for the weekend total on Dark Tower and Dunkirk, both movies between $17-18 million.
Dunkirk now at 16.2% on MovieTickets (13.5% last night). Dark Tower now at 11.7% (15.2% last night). Pretty huge change and it's probably going to continue trending in a bad direction for Dark Tower the rest of the day. Still not even 2 PM on the west coast.