With $81 million worldwide, including an underwhelming $48 million overseas cume (and China unlikely to play any role), the hope is that it earns closer to 35/65 (think Shazam) versus 50/50 (John Wick 2). Being optimistic, legs like LEGO Batman (3.3 x $53 million) gets Birds of Prey to $111 while a 35/65 split gets it to $317 million worldwide. However, legs like Fifty Shades and a domestic/overseas split like John Wick 2 means $90 million domestic and $168 million, about on par with Fantastic Four five years ago. Yes, that’s (hopefully) unduly pessimistic, but WB has to hope to at least pass the $250-$260 million totals of Men in Black: International, Dark Phoenix and Terminator: Dark Fate. Good luck…
- Scott Mendelson (Forbes)